Counterfactual Impact Evaluation Workshop

Counterfactual Thinking, Complex Realities

Practical Tools for Policy Impact Evaluation

📍 Venue: NH Milano Machiavelli 📅 Dates: 11–13 May 2026 👥Format: English | In-person event
DESCRIPTION
PROGRAMME
SPEAkERS
FEES and PAYMENT
PRACTICAL INFORMATION
CONTACTS

How can evaluation demonstrate for whom, when, and why interventions work, moving beyond simply proving impact?

To  address the complexity of real-world policy challenges, CSIL organises a three-day workshop that brings together policy professionals, researchers, and evaluators to explore how Counterfactual Impact Evaluation (CIE) can contribute to more nuanced, actionable, and context-sensitive evidence to support better policymaking.

Applying the CIE effectively requires more than technical know-how — it demands critical thinking, awareness of context, and practical judgement. The workshop offers a unique opportunity to:

  • Understand the principles and methods underpinning CIE (Matching, Difference-in-Differences, Regression Discontinuity Design, Synthetic Control);
  • Explore how to apply them to policy interventions  targeting individuals, firms, or regions;
  • Learn how to combine quantitative, qualitative, and data-intensive approaches, including. machine learning models;
  • Reflect on how CIE can inform smarter, more impactful policymaking.

The event blends methodological sessions, hands-on group activities, and a policy roundtable with leading experts from European and national institutions.

The workshop is designed for policymakers, evaluation practitioners, researchers, and doctoral students.

No advanced econometric background is required to join it. Sessions are designed to be accessible and practice-oriented. All participants are recommended to bring a laptop.

Capacity is limited to 30 participantsFirst-come, first-served admission applies upon payment confirmation.

DOWNLOAD THE PROGRAMME

11 May 2026

9:00 - 9:15
Welcome and registration
9:15 - 9:30
Opening remarks
Dr Giulia Canzian (CSIL)
9:30 - 10:30
Introduction to CIE
- The role of CIE in the evaluation of public policy; 
- Approaching the CIE with the policy theory of change in mind
Prof Franco Peracchi (CSIL Advisor)
10:30 - 10:45
Coffee Break
10:45 - 11:30
Matching techniques*
Dr Francesco Giffoni (CSIL), Dr Giulia Canzian (CSIL)
11:30 - 13:00
Regression Discontinuity Design*
Dr Erica Delugas (CSIL), Dr Alessandra Caputo (CSIL)
13:00 - 14:00
Lunch Break
14:00 - 15:30
Difference-in-Differences model*
Dr Alessandra Caputo (CSIL), Dr Erica Delugas (CSIL)
15:30 - 15:45
Coffee Break
15:45 - 17:15
Synthetic Control Method*
Dr Gabriele Piazza (LSE)
17:15 – 17:30
Wrap-up and Q&A
Dr Giulia Canzian (CSIL)
*Each methodological session will include:
  • A concise overview of the method

  • When apply it

  • Necessary conditions and data 

  • Practical examples from real-world evaluations
  • A step-by-step guide to implementation

12 May 2026

9:00 - 9:15
Welcome and registration
9:15 - 10:30
Hands-on group activity - Part 1
Dr Alessandra Caputo (CSIL)
10:30 - 11:00
Wrap-up and discussion (plenary)
11:00 - 11:15
Coffee Break
11:15 - 12:30
Hands-on group activity - Part 2
Dr Erica Delugas (CSIL)
12:30 - 13:00
Wrap-up and discussion
13:00 - 14:00
Lunch Break
14:00 - 15:15
Hands-on group activity - Part 3
Dr Gabriele Piazza (LSE)
15:15 - 15:45
Wrap-up and discussion
15:45 - 16:00 
Coffee Break
16:00 - 17:00
Interactive group discussion (plenary session)
Dr Giulia Canzian (CSIL)

13 May 2026

9:00 - 9:15 
Arrival and registration
9:15 - 9:30
Opening remarks
Dr Giulia Canzian (CSIL)
9:30 - 11:00
Roundtable 1 - Evidence Under Constraint: Administrative Data and the Frontiers of Counterfactual Evaluation
Chair: Dr Giulia Canzian (CSIL); Speakers: Davide Ceccanti (European Commission, DG REGIO), Tillmann Heidelk (European Commission, DG REGIO), Alessio Mitra (European Commission, DG RTD), Carlo Fiorio (University of Milan and FBK-IRVAPP)
11:00 - 11:30
Coffee Break
11:30 - 13:00
Roundtable 2 - Out of the Ivory Tower: CIE in the Real World of Policymaking
Chair: Prof. Massimo Florio (CSIL and University of Milan); Speakers: Paolo Paruolo (European Commission, JRC), Simone Signore (European Investment Fund), Aron Gereben (European Investment Bank), Massimiliano Ferraresi (Emilia Romagna Region), Mirco Tonin (FBK-IRVAPP)
13:00 - 13:15
Closing remarks

KEYNOTE SPEAKER

Prof Franco Peracchi (CSIL advisor)

We are honoured to open the workshop with an introduction by Prof. Franco Peracchi, CSIL Advisor, Professor Emeritus at Tor Vergata University, and Fellow of the Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF).
Prof. Peracchi’s research focuses on the methodologies used to measure the impact of public interventions.

WORKSHOP SPEAKERS

ROUNDTABLE SPEAKERS

  • Massimo Florio, Emeritus Professor of Public Economics at the University of Milan, Founder and Senior Advisor at CSIL.
  • Davide Ceccanti, Political economist at the Evaluation Division of the European Commission, Directorate-General for Regional and Urban Policy (DG REGIO).
  • Massimiliano Ferraresi, Head of Monitoring and Evaluation Unit at Emilia Romagna Region (Italy). Former Evaluator at the European Innovation Bank and Economist at the European Commission.
  • Carlo Fiorio, Full Professor of Public Economics at the University of Milan. Senior Advisor at CSIL and Senior Researcher at FBK-IRVAPP.
  • Aron Gereben, Evaluation Expert/Team Leader at the Evaluation Division of the European Investment Bank. 
  • Alessio Mitra, Economist and Policy Officer at the European Commission, DG RTD (A.5 - Innovation Policy and Access to Finance).
  • Paolo Paruolo, Head of Competence Centre on Microeconomic Evaluation at the European Commission's Joint Research Centre. 
  • Simone Signore, Head of Unit | Impact Strategy at the European Investment Fund.
  • Heidel Tillmann, Economic and Policy Analyst at the European Commission, Directorate-General for Regional and Urban Policy (DG REGIO).
  • Mirco Tonin, Full Professor of Economics at the Free University of Bozen-Bolzano. Director of the Research Institute for the Evaluation of Public Policies at the Bruno Kessler Foundation.

FEES

Registration are open until 15 March 2026.

  • Registration for the three days workshop (11-13 May 2026): €800 (+ VAT if due)
  • Registration for the last day  - ROUNDTABLE (13 May 2026): €150 (+ VAT if due)

The indicated fees are net of VAT (22%). VAT liability will be checked during payment. Generally, VAT is not due if the payer (the invoice addressee, as specified in the application form) is VAT-exempt (e.g. European Commission) or holds a VAT number (reversal charge may apply).

The fee includes: workshop materials, lunches, coffee breaks,  and a certificate of attendance.
Not included: travel and accommodation (at participants’ expense). Early booking is recommended.

PAYMENT

After submitting the online application, applicants will receive a payment form. Payments can be made by international bank transfer, credit card, or PayPal.
Admission is confirmed by email once the CSIL Administrative Department receives the payment.

CANCELLATION & REFUNDS

  • Up to 45 days before the start date: 100% refund

  • Up to 20 days before the start date: 80% refund

  • Until the day before the start date: 20% refund

  • No-shows / not cancelled: no refund

Cancellations must be in writing. Qualified substitutions are accepted at no charge.

PRIVACY & DATA PROTECTION

Data are processed in accordance with CSIL’s Privacy Policy and used solely for workshop administration (registration, payment, programme updates, distribution of training materials, logistics). Group photos may be taken during sessions.

CERTIFICATE OF ATTENDANCE

A certificate will be issued only to participants who attend all sessions for which they have applied.

PLACES AVAILABLE

Capacity is limited to 30 participants. First-come, first-served admission applies upon payment confirmation.

LOCATION

The workshop will be held in the centre of Milan, at the NH Milano Machiavelli Hotel. The address is Via Lazzaretto 5 (nearest metro stop: “Porta Venezia”/“Repubblica”)

LANGUAGE

All workshop materials are in English.

MEALS

Lunches are included in the fee and will be served at the workshop location.

Applicants are kindly invited to indicate any dietary preference (e.g. vegetarian, gluten-free, etc.) while submitting the application form.

TRAVEL & ACCOMMODATION

Travel and accommodation costs are at the participants’ expense.

We will share recommendations for suitable accommodations near the workshop location. We also suggest searching for apartments/B&B online:

Booking  | Airbnb

Feel free to contact the organisation should you need any help.

For questions regarding the programme and organisation, please contact Jessica Catalano and Claudia Santoro.




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